Cut prediction: Farmers Insurance Open

Cut prediction: Farmers Insurance Open
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2021 Farmers Insurance Open, Round 1

Scoring Conditions:

Torrey Pines (North): -2.55 strokes per round

Torrey Pines (South): +1.17 strokes per round

South Course      

Front 9: 35.962

Back 9: 37.205 

Total: 73.167                                                                         

North Course

Front 9: 34.462

Back 9: 34.987       

Total: 69.449                                                      

Current cutline (top 65 and ties):

68 players at -2 or better (T48)

Top 3 projected cutline probabilities:

1. 2 under par: 36.9%
2. 3 under par: 34.0%
3. 1 under par: 14.4%

Top 10 win probabilities:

1. Rory McIlroy (T21, -4, 17.2%)
2. Jon Rahm (T32, -3, 13.3%)
3. Patrick Reed (T1, -8, 12.4%)
4. Ryan Palmer (T4, -6, 7.6%)
5. Scottie Scheffler (3, -7, 6.6%)
6. Tony Finau (T32, -3, 5.9%)
7. Alex Noren (T1, -8, 3.2%)
8. Cameron Smith (T4, -6, 2.9%)
9. Peter Malnati (T4, -6, 2.5%)
10. Talor Gooch (T4, -6, 2.1%)

NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Farmers Insurance Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.




Source: PGA tour

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